B
BERGEBULK AI Transformation · Confidential
CII / ETS Cockpit · Flagship Demo 04 / 05

See 90 vessels on one screen.
Today’s decision = whether the ship is B or D twelve months from now.

EU ETS allowances, IMO CII grades, TCE earnings, CapEx — all sitting in one decision matrix. Five minutes to settle a question that used to take five meetings.

Live Demo

Click any vessel to see AI-ranked intervention options

Synthetic 90-vessel example based on public industry benchmarks. Berge Olympus / Everest / Hakodate appear as the lead row.

Live Cockpit

Fleet-wide CII rating matrix

Downgrade within 12 mo Wind assistance fitted
010203040506070809
Current CII distribution90 vessels
26
42
17
A: 3B: 26C: 42D: 17E: 2
End-of-2026 forecast90 vessels
9
37
31
10
A: 3B: 9C: 37D: 31E: 10
Selected vessel

Berge Tai Shan

BB-006
Type
Valemax
DWT
394K
Built
2015
Fuel
61.9 t/d
BNow
CForecast
AI brief: This vessel’s CII grade is trending down over the next four months, driven mostly by hull fouling and an increased ballast-leg share on its primary routes. Three intervention options below, ranked by 5-year NPV.

Intervention options · Berge Tai Shan

3 options · ranked by 5-year NPV
Option

Reduce average speed by 0.5 knots

Apply the Voyage+ recommended speed curve fleet-wide

CII outcome
→ Grade A
CapEx
Net annual
−$2.10M
Payback
EU ETS allowance saved +$340K / year; TCE loss −$2.44M / year
AI Pick
Option

Q3 hull cleaning + Flettner rotor retrofit

One-time CapEx; long-term drag reduction + wind assistance

CII outcome
→ Grade A
CapEx
+$4.80M
Net annual
+$1.60M
Payback
14 mo
Annual fuel saving 8–11%; lifts CII by ~2 grades; best long-term NPV
Option

Buy EU ETS allowances; status quo

Hedge via the EU carbon market, no operational change

CII outcome
→ Grade B
CapEx
Net annual
−$890K
Payback
CII unchanged; estimated residual value drop of $3.2M by 2027
Why this matters

EU ETS + CII is the hardest regulatory constraint of the next five years

Reg 1 · EU ETS

Full shipping coverage since 2024

100% of intra-EU emissions and 50% of EU↔non-EU emissions priced through the carbon market. ETS exposure for one Capesize on European routes ≈ $0.5–1M / year.

Reg 2 · IMO CII

D × 2 years or E × 1 year triggers a SEEMP plan

Once triggered, owner must file a corrective plan. Charterers discount D/E vessels materially; residual value expected to fall $2–5M.

Comm 3 · Charterer preference

A/B vessels earn premium rates

BHP, Vale and Cargill already include CII clauses in long-term charters. B-grade or better can command a 1–3% premium.

Tech stack

How it runs under the hood

  1. 01
    Data ingestion · Pull per-vessel fuel / distance / cargo from SERTICA, contracts + voyage records from Oracle ERP.
  2. 02
    CII forecasting model · LSTM + residual net trained on 12 months of operating patterns to predict next-quarter CII trajectory.
  3. 03
    Intervention NPV engine · Enumerates 12 interventions per ship (slow-steam, drydock, retrofit, allowance purchase…), Monte-Carlo simulates fuel and ETS price distributions, outputs 5-year NPV.
  4. 04
    LLM narration layer · GPT-4o translates the matrix into a daily one-page brief for CEO / CFO / CCO.
POC

A 90-day Cockpit POC

Scope

10 vessels × 18 months of historical data, AI vs human decisions.

KPIs: 1) CII back-test accuracy ≥ 85% · 2) at least one quantifiable intervention per vessel · 3) CFO-led acceptance.

Investment
$180K
1 shipping SME + 1 ML engineer + Azure resources
Exit
Milestone-gated refund if POC fails. No commitment to phase 2.
Proposal · Confidential

Berge Bulk · AI Transformation

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